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Running on EXTRA time…
Insights from the EXTRA Working Group to help you
keep track of ‘Existential Threats and Risks to All’
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Welcome
to the EXTRA Newsletter
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EDITORIAL
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How Seriously Will X-Risks Impact You? It may depend on how old you are...
This edition looks at the way young people respond to the prospect of escalating existential risks that are set to affect them disproportionately. In collaboration with Protect Our Planet (POP), a major global youth movement, EXTRA opens this important conversation on intergenerational justice in this month's video feature, jointly organised with the POP leadership team, led by Ash Pachauri, son of former IPCC head and Nobel Prize winner Rajendra Pachauri. His colleague, Philo Magdalene A, in an article, further explores how the world's 1.8 billion youth can help challenge political inaction and demand a place at the negotiation table.
EXTRA researcher Lorenzo Rodriguez, in his article, examines what is holding back such activism by asking why many young people are unable to fear the future and pointing to the normalisation of dystopia in popular culture.
Other focal points for this newsletter are the review of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, currently underway, a critical issue in light of ongoing armed conflicts and associated nuclear sabre-rattling, as well as the historic first Summit for a Fossil-Free Future in Colombia.
Lorenzo Rodriguez, Editor, EXTRA Newsletter
Prof Thomas Reuter, Co-editor & Chair, EXTRA Working Group
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INTERVIEWS & WEBINARS
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Original, short interviews or discussions with experts and stakeholders on various categories of existential challenges.
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Stop Gambling Away Our Future: Seeing Existential Risks Through the Eyes of Youth
‘Protect our Planet’ -POP- is a major global youth movement focused on ecological sustainability and climate change. In this joint webinar, leaders of this movement discuss youth perspectives on existential risks with us. Younger generations face a greater risk and, arguably, the near certainty of personally experiencing catastrophic levels of global warming, major disruptions in the wake of AGI, food and water insecurity, and possibly also major conflict under now dangerously unstable geopolitical conditions.
Watching ageing politicians and corporate leaders gamble away their future for short-term gain, young people experience frustration and eco-anxiety. For others, climate impacts are already a deadly reality. Youth, they argue, need to respond by getting organised and taking action for intergenerational justice.
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ARTICLES, ESSAYS & IDEAS
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Original articles, op-ed pieces, and more – commissioned by EXTRA.
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1.8 billion Invitations to the Youth of the World
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Philo Magdalene A, POP Movement, Youth Mentor
(with input from Ash Pachauri and other members of the POP Movement)
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To ensure that governments have the ambition and public backing to make commitments, we need action at the grassroots level. And to lead that action at the grassroots, what better section of society than the youth of the world? Unsatisfied with the pace of global climate negotiations and the inadequate ambition and leadership, POP founder Dr RK Pachauri was firmly convinced that the world's 1.8 billion youth possess tremendous potential to combat the existential threat of climate change. As the POP Movement turns a decade this year, it is the perfect time to revisit the rationale set by its visionary founder.
Read More
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What happened to Wonder? How We Learned to Stop Fearing the Future
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Lorenzo Rodriguez, EXTRA, Research and Project Officer, Newsletter Co-editor
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This article examines the decline of thaumazein, a concept from Aristotle’s Metaphysics often translated as "wonder." Rather than mere curiosity, the term refers to an active response to confronting the unknown, which constitutes the foundational impulse for critical thought. It analyses how the younger generation's experiences have eroded this capacity, and explores the practical consequences for global society, especially for youth action.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
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A selection of events to be aware of that are organized by EXTRA, allies, partners, and organizations on our radar.
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Peace Summit 2026 – Youth Peace Ambassadors
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Youth Peace Ambassadors Japan
Allanton Sanctuary, Scotland, United Kingdom (In-Person Event) | July 22–27, 2026
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Young Leaders Summer Academy 2026: Climate Change and Security
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Institute for International Cooperation, Technological Diplomacy and Communication (ICI) & Partners
Hamburg, Germany (Hybrid Event) | July 5–8, 2026
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International Pandemic Sciences Conference 2026: From Response to Resilience
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Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford & Singapore's PREPARE Programme
Singapore & Online (Hybrid Event) | July 1–3, 2026
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6th African Youth Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Summit: Reimagining Africa through Youth-Driven Solutions
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African Youth SDGs Summit Secretariat & Partners
Accra, Ghana (Hybrid Event) | June 23–25, 2026
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Youth Peace Summit 2026
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Youth Peace Summit
The Hague, Netherlands (In-Person Event) | June 17–19, 2026
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Global Youth Climate Summit 2026
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Right Here, Right Now Global Climate Alliance; UN Human Rights; Oxford Saïd Business School
Oxford, United Kingdom (Hybrid Event) | June 5, 2026
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Parliamentary Oversight of AI: Early Experiences and Lessons Learned
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Inter-Parliamentary Union (IPU)
Online (Webinar) | May 20, 2026 | 10:00–11:00 CEST
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REPORTS
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Our latest selection of outstanding reports on Existential Threats and Risks. Beat the info glut by taking a look at our monthly list.
If you have time, take a look at the 20 Notable Reports or browse the complete EXTRA Risk Directory on our website.
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The Circularity Gap Report 2026: The Value Gap
Circle Economy
April 2026, 43p.
Introduces the concept of the "Value Gap," estimating an avoidable €25.4 trillion lost annually from linear material use — nearly 31% of global GDP. This structural loss, invisible to conventional economic metrics, results from waste, resource depletion, and underutilised assets. The report calls for systemic redesign and coordinated action across business, finance, and policy to adopt circularity and recover this value.
Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Analysis for the United States
Center for Global Sustainability, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland
April 2026, 388p.
Provides vital data for climate change monitoring in the United States, stepping in to fill the gap left by the EPA following its severe disruption under the current U.S. administration. The report adheres to the same methodological standards previously applied by the EPA, ensuring continuity of the historical record.
Implications of the ICJ's Advisory Opinion on State Obligations around Climate Change for Future Generations
United Nations University — Centre for Policy Research (UNU-CPR)
April 2026, 12p.
Examines the International Court of Justice's 2025 Advisory Opinion on nation states' obligations relating to the implications of climate change for future generations. It explores how the Opinion strengthens the legal foundations of mandatory climate action under international law and offers a critical analysis of its limitations, particularly in its treatment of intergenerational equity.
Electricity 2026: Analysis and Forecast to 2030
International Energy Agency (IEA)
February 2026, 225p.
The IEA announces humanity has entered the "Age of Electricity," with 60% of new energy demand now met by renewables. Half of the world's electricity is forecast to come from renewables by 2050, A staggering 8% annual growth rate, which still falls short of a net-zero pathway. A related IEA report shows dramatic growth in energy demand from AI data centres.
Planetary Health Check 2025
Planetary Boundaries Science (PBScience),Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
November 2025, 144p.
Reveals that Earth's health sits at the upper end of the danger zone, with seven of nine planetary boundaries breached. Key indicators include atmospheric CO₂ at 423 ppm, radiative forcing at +2.97 W/m², and extinction rates of 100–1,000 E/MSY. Ocean acidification has been breached for the first time, and the window for recovery is rapidly closing.
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NEWS from the World Press
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Links to a must-read selection of news for a global outlook across the spectrum of Existential Threats and Risks sourced from the media and web.
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1. Can We End War and Abolish Nuclear Weapons? UNFOLD ZERO, May 5, 2026.
Reports on the discussions of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) review conference held April 27–May 22, 2026. As the only remaining treaty on nuclear weapons, its review represents a vital diplomatic effort at a particularly dangerous moment in international security.
2. Nuclear Fears Resurface Among Younger Generations Amid Rising Tensions. UN News, May 1, 2026.
Reports how renewed nuclear rhetoric surrounding wars in Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran is prompting younger generations to engage with disarmament, with the UN's Youth Leaders Fund supporting young advocates in challenging the normalisation of nuclear weapons.
3. People's Declaration for a Rapid, Equitable and Just Transition for a Fossil-Free Future. Fossil Free Rising, April 30, 2026. The People's Summit for a Fossil Free Future — the civil society counterpart to the first Conference on Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels — convened April 24–26 in Santa Marta to build collective power from the ground up for a fossil-free future.
4. New Course Shows Young Climate Leaders How to Advocate for Change. UNDP Climate Promise, April 30, 2026.
Introduces a new training programme that equips young leaders with advocacy, communication, and policy skills to influence climate decisions at the local, national, and global levels, emphasising youth as key actors in shaping long-term climate futures.
5. A New Nuclear Arms Race Is Accelerating. T. Ruff, The Conversation, April 26, 2026.
Provides historical background on the NPT treaty on nuclear weapons proliferation and what is at stake in its current review cycle, setting the context for ongoing diplomatic efforts to prevent further arms escalation.
6. Scientists and Economists Will Help Countries Develop Plans to Reduce Dependence on Oil, Gas and Coal. J. Watts, The Guardian, April 25, 2026.
Reports on a new science panel advising the first global Conference on Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels in Santa Marta, Colombia, attended by 50+ nations and 2,800 civil society representatives. The panel's formation stands in sharp contrast to the marginalisation of science at recent COP summits dominated by fossil fuel lobbies.
7. How the Polycrisis Is Making Young People Canada's Unhappiest Generation. Cascade Institute, December 17, 2025.
Explores how overlapping crises — from climate change to economic precarity and geopolitical instability — disproportionately affect Canadian youth, underscoring the psychological and social toll of living amid mounting global systemic risks.
8. Longtermism: A Call to Protect Future Generations. 80,000 Hours, March, 2023.
A long-form essay framing the reduction of extinction risks from AI, pandemics, and other global catastrophes as among the most effective ways to safeguard both current youth and future generations, placing intergenerational justice at the centre of today's policy priorities.
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